Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 220.593650 265.717474 322.113926 399.475182 505.684017 651.009812 8.738904e+02
2025-02-02 181.138099 240.116405 325.400960 465.345868 707.030121 1151.136558 2.178470e+03
2025-02-09 147.323149 205.307885 296.056289 461.451517 792.782531 1549.869636 4.095199e+03
2025-02-16 127.716515 184.989370 280.409421 470.209197 904.457776 2138.674497 8.748460e+03
2025-02-23 114.013055 170.412907 269.390392 481.782457 1031.377302 2990.480482 2.293011e+04
2025-03-02 104.250722 160.200389 263.076754 500.031006 1192.968896 4378.605488 1.033588e+05
2025-03-09 95.151583 149.393904 252.861849 505.323054 1325.834798 6168.145378 1.778696e+06
2025-03-16 85.530381 136.123146 234.920015 485.261175 1359.958829 7612.300372 NaN
2025-03-23 80.920125 131.445137 233.697137 508.532666 1589.817845 12680.358503 NaN
2025-03-30 73.279685 119.980040 215.820433 479.563214 1569.854962 14858.128837 NaN
2025-04-06 69.157823 114.869786 211.107583 487.814265 1746.434897 24228.538849 NaN
2025-04-13 64.959347 109.106793 203.928473 486.293596 1877.560082 38461.303715 NaN
2025-04-20 63.826686 109.993491 213.886253 550.491948 2590.121777 257694.763435 NaN
2025-04-27 63.828221 113.370084 231.275066 656.157102 4118.904324 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 59.486904 106.726079 221.294443 649.832668 4569.591056 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 56.346304 102.338133 216.503181 664.023234 5445.426723 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 53.675114 98.668782 212.961606 682.860457 6643.261224 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 51.541177 95.964986 211.631346 712.758256 8533.834443 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 49.091357 92.238919 206.591068 721.472979 10220.520485 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 45.966959 86.611241 194.922656 688.541474 10315.562949 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 44.614773 85.091246 195.567756 726.768107 14245.461677 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 41.708832 79.545733 182.809636 679.240810 13301.070772 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 40.192033 77.269809 180.084913 692.716396 16660.668039 NaN NaN